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Stock Market Timing Signals - CrystalBull
Stock Market Indicator Signals - CrystalBull
Total Return S&P 500 CrystalBull
YTD (Apr 23rd) +2.04% +3.65%
1 yr. (2013) +32.17% +14.86%
1 cycle (2007-2013) +50.75% +749.70%
2 cycles (2000-2013) +62.2% +5372.9%
*hypothetical results based on current model

Click to see historical performance of
The CrystalBull Trading Indicator
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Consumer Sentiment Index Chart

  This chart shows University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index along with Retail Sales and Durable Goods Orders, in relation to the S&P 500. Note the relationship between Consumer Sentiment and sales.  Consumer Sentiment is considered by many market timers to forecast the near term strength in retail sales (retail and consumer goods stocks).  Consumer Sentiment does react to stock market conditions, however.  So at times, this is a lagging indicator.

NOTE: The left axis is for the Consumer Sentiment values. The right axis is for the Retail Sales and Durable Goods Orders, in %. So that the chart dates align properly, the right axis will disappear when the bottom chart is moused over. The white horizontal line is the 0% line for Retail Sales and Durable Goods Orders.

The Conference Board will not grant permission to provide graphical analysis of their Consumer Confidence data or Leading Economic Indicator (LEI).

( HINT: Click-and-drag left-to-right on the top chart (S&P 500) to zoom in to a specific date range. Double-click on S&P 500 chart to zoom back out. )

  = recessions