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Stock Market Timing Signals - CrystalBull
Stock Market Indicator Signals - CrystalBull
Total Return S&P 500 CrystalBull
YTD (Apr 17th) +1.44% +3.65%
1 yr. (2013) +32.17% +14.86%
1 cycle (2007-2013) +50.75% +749.70%
2 cycles (2000-2013) +62.2% +5372.9%
*hypothetical results based on current model
Click to see historical performance of
The CrystalBull Trading Indicator
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source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Money Supply Chart

  This chart shows the year-over-year changes in Money Supply ( Monetary Base, M1, and M2 ), in Real (adjusted for inflation) terms, in relation to the S&P 500.  Money Supply changes by the Federal Reserve are one of the most important causes of economic trend reversals.  Many argue that all booms, busts, bubbles, and crashes are caused by Federal Reserve Money Supply manipulation vis-a-vis the free market.  The stock market is dependent on economic trends, so Monetary Supply is an important parameter in stock market timing systems.

NOTE: Use the Legend link above the Real Money Supply chart to hide or display various Money Supply components.

Monetary Base (aka 'Money Base', or 'M0') : The total of all currency (banknotes and coins) and commercial banks' reserves with the central bank. This is the narrowest definition of money supply, consisting only of the most liquid forms of money. Think of the Monetary Base as 'M0'.
M1 : Equals the Monetary Base (M0), plus checkable deposits and traveler's checks (assets that can be used to pay bills and debts).
M2 : Equals M1, plus savings deposits, money market deposits, and time deposits less than $100,000. For many, M2 is the figure to watch in forecasting inflation.

( HINT: Click-and-drag left-to-right on the top chart (S&P 500) to zoom in to a specific date range. Double-click on S&P 500 chart to zoom back out. )

  = recessions