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Everyone else is just guessing..
Total Return S&P 500 CrystalBull
2011 +1.99% +10.86%
1 yr. (2010) +14.9% +33.4%
3 yr. (2008-2010) -8.2% +378.8%
10 yr. (2001-2010) -14.4% +2246.1%
*hypothetical results based on current model
Click to see historical performance of
The CrystalBull Trading Indicator
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( HINT: Click-and-drag left-to-right on the top chart (S&P 500) to zoom in to a specific date range. Double-click on S&P 500 chart to zoom back out. )

This chart shows the year-over-year changes in the M2 Velocity of Money (defined as nominal GDP divided by M2), in relation to the S&P 500.

Note that the Velocity of Money slows during recessions, and the slowdown can linger for many months.

Click here to see a chart for the M1 Velocity of Money. M1 : Equals the Monetary Base (M0), plus checkable deposits and traveler's checks (assets that can be used to pay bills and debts). M2 : Equals M1, plus savings deposits, money market deposits, and time deposits less than $100,000. For many, M2 is the figure to watch in forecasting inflation.

  = recessions