Total Return S&P 500 CrystalBull
YTD (Sep 20th) YTD +20.98% +14.68%
2018 2018 -4.95% -3.68%
1 cycle (2007-2018) 2007-18 +134.16% +1162.46%
2 cycles (2000-2018) 2000-18 +170.28% +7527.57%
*hypothetical results based on current model
Click to see historical performance of
The CrystalBull Trading Indicator
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The CrystalBull Stock Market Trend Indicator Chart, For Monthly Market Timing

This chart shows the proprietary CrystalBull Trend Indicator in relation to the S&P 500.  This is the best indicator we have found for the current stock market monthly trend.  This algorithm looks for market tops and bottoms to be established, so may lag the exact market trend reversal points by a short period.  This market timing model is for long-term investors who seek to avoid secular drawdowns.  Since 1970, following this indicator (in market when above zero, out of market when below) would have beaten a Buy-and-Hold strategy by 37.45%.

HOW TO USE:  The aqua-blue line in the bottom chart represents the CrystalBull Trend Indicator.  It is calculated at the end of each month, based on the currently available stock market price data.  Values above zero indicate a possible positive trend going forward, and values below zero indicate a possible negative trend going forward.

( HINT:  Click-and-drag left-to-right on a chart to zoom in to a specific date range.  Double-click on a chart to zoom back out. )

NOTE:  Use the "Legend" link above the CrystalBull Trend Indicator chart to hide/display/isolate various other experimental stock market indicators, by clicking on the corresponding series.

  = recessions