Total Return S&P 500 CrystalBull
YTD (Apr 28th) YTD +7.18% +7.53%
1 yr. (2016) 2016 +11.80% +7.46%
1 yr. (2015) 2015 +1.21% +14.84%
1 cycle (2007-2016) 2007-16 +73.36% +942.75%
2 cycles (2000-2016) 2000-16 +100.10% +6200.19%
*hypothetical results based on current model
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Real PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) Chart

This chart shows the year-over-year change in Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), in relation to the S&P 500.  Real PCE measures consumer spending in real, inflation-adjusted dollars, so is valuable in GDP studies, and retail and consumer goods stock analysis.  High PCE can also indicate higher demand-push inflationary times ahead, so can be a leading input.

Note that Real PCE falls during recessions, as one would expect.

NOTE: Use the Legend link above the PCE chart to display hidden headline CPI values.


( HINT:  Click-and-drag left-to-right on the top chart (S&P 500) to zoom in to a specific date range.  Double-click on S&P 500 chart to zoom back out. )

  = recessions