Total Return S&P 500 CrystalBull
YTD (Feb 24th) YTD +5.15% +5.15%
1 yr. (2016) 2016 +11.80% +7.46%
1 yr. (2015) 2015 +1.21% +14.84%
1 cycle (2007-2016) 2007-16 +73.36% +942.75%
2 cycles (2000-2016) 2000-16 +100.10% +6200.19%
*hypothetical results based on current model
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The CrystalBull Trading Indicator
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TED Spread Indicator Chart

This chart shows the TED Spread, in relation to the S&P 500.  The TED (T-Bill, EuroDollar) Spread is the difference between the LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) and the 3 Month Treasury Bill.  The LIBOR is Europe's equivalent to the United States' Federal Funds Rate.  A rising TED spread is a bearish indicator, as it is evidence that liquidity is being withdrawn from the financial markets.  A high TED Spread indicates higher perceived risk in lending, as interbank rates rise against risk-free treasury rates, and is generally a bearish signal, a leading indicator, in market timing systems.


( HINT:  Click-and-drag left-to-right on the top chart (S&P 500) to zoom in to a specific date range.  Double-click on S&P 500 chart to zoom back out. )

  = recessions