Total Return S&P 500 CrystalBull
YTD (Mar 22nd) YTD +4.46% +6.11%
1 yr. (2016) 2016 +11.80% +7.46%
1 yr. (2015) 2015 +1.21% +14.84%
1 cycle (2007-2016) 2007-16 +73.36% +942.75%
2 cycles (2000-2016) 2000-16 +100.10% +6200.19%
*hypothetical results based on current model
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30 Year Mortgage Rate Chart

This chart shows the 30 Year Mortgage Rate along with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Federal Funds Rate, in relation to the S&P 500.  Mortgage Rates are obvious candidates for market timing study, as the housing market accounts for roughly 5% of GDP.  Rates typically respond to market conditions, however, so are usually a lagging stock market indicator.  Recent manipulation by the Federal Reserve has distorted the study for decades to come.  We will continue to chart mortgage rates for future study, but do not expect them to be valuable in timing the market.

( HINT:  Click-and-drag left-to-right on the top chart (S&P 500) to zoom in to a specific date range.  Double-click on S&P 500 chart to zoom back out. )

  = recessions